Sovereign
Closes in 9 days
Eastern Flank Deterrence — Stage 4 before Q3?
58%
AI prior
NO 29%crowd YES 71%
⚔ Amara Kofi (rival) staked YES · 300 EcoDrop — you are watching this market.
48K staked · 214 calibrators
← EWOX.AI / CALIBRATOR
The staking loop · Reputation, measured
Stake your reputation, not your capital.
Calibrate stage transitions before they resolve. Every stake is scored, every resolution is ranked, and your accuracy record is public, per-domain, and unedited — the credential that cannot be faked.
79%
Your accuracy
42
Resolved stakes
6.3K
EcoDrop earned
2
Beat-the-Prior badges
7
Sovereign & Geopolitics
consecutive correct · personal best 12
consecutive correct · personal best 12
4
Commodities
consecutive correct · personal best 6
consecutive correct · personal best 6
3
Technology & AI
consecutive correct · personal best 5
consecutive correct · personal best 5
One wrong stake in any domain resets that domain's counter. Rivals can see your open streaks —
a visible streak invites a contrarian stake.
Live markets — six domains
The gold blade on every rail is the AI prior. Where the crowd sits far from the blade, a Beat-the-Prior window is open: stake against the prior, be right, and earn the badge that anchors the reputation hierarchy.
Commodities
Closes in 14 days
DRC Minerals — Stage 4 confirmation this cycle?
38%
AI prior
NO 48%crowd YES 52%
89K staked · 312 calibrators
Technology & AI
Closes in 21 days
AI Data Centre grid collision — first curtailment event 2026?
44%
AI prior
NO 39%crowd YES 61%
66K staked · 188 calibrators
Energy & Climate
Closes in 30 days
CBAM Phase II — enforcement delay past March?
51%
AI prior
NO 57%crowd YES 43%
31K staked · 97 calibrators
Financial
Closes in 11 days
Naira unification holds through Q2 auctions?
64%
AI prior
NO 29%crowd YES 71%
156K staked · 406 calibrators
Industrial
Closes in 44 days
Port chokepoint — BRI renegotiation announced H2?
29%
AI prior
NO 67%crowd YES 33%
18K staked · 64 calibrators
⬡ Constellation staking opportunity
DRC Minerals just confirmed Stage 3. CFA Architecture Transition has not. Historical co-movement: 0.78, minerals lead by one cycle. Staking window on the lagging trajectory: open — market closes in 14 days.
Your rivals — head to head
Up to five tracked rivals, ordered by how close the head-to-head accuracy sits — the rival you are about to overtake, or be overtaken by, appears first. Shared-market accuracy controls for market selection: it measures who reads the same markets better.
AK
−1 behind you
Amara Kofi · Sovereign 87%
14 shared markets · streak 5
MH
tied
Miriam Hartmann · Energy 84%
11 shared markets · streak 3
TS
+2 ahead of you
Thomas Sow · Commodities 82%
9 shared markets · streak 0
Your last resolutions
Top 12%
DRC Minerals Stage Advance — resolved YES. Of 214 calibrators who staked correctly, EcoDrop-weighted. +500 EcoDrop.
Commodities streak extended to 4 · personal best 6.
Commodities streak extended to 4 · personal best 6.
Top 8%
ESSTI Nigeria divergence > +1.5 — resolved YES. Of 178 correct calibrators, EcoDrop-weighted. +320 EcoDrop. ◎ Beat the AI Prior — you staked against a 41% prior.
Sovereign streak extended to 7 · personal best 12.
Sovereign streak extended to 7 · personal best 12.
✉ Your Calibration Digest
Positions closest to resolution, the day's highest Beat-the-Prior divergences in your domains, and what your rivals staked overnight. Every item is an action.