Choose who sees the question.

Every Risk Market began here. Draft the question your board is afraid to ask, attach the AI prior, let your desks position against it — sealed, invited, organisation-wide, or public. The audit record is immutable from the first draft.

Visibility modes

100%

Audit coverage

Templates

Resealing — ever

Four visibility modes

Visibility moves in one direction only: toward public. A sealed instrument can be published; a published one can never be resealed. This asymmetry is what makes the origination trace credible.

🔒 Sealed

Your organisation only. The question, positions, and AI prior never leave your instance. Full audit trail retained.

✉ Invite

Named colleagues and counterparties you select. Every viewer is recorded. Invitations are recorded permanently on both profiles — sponsor and invitee.

🏛 Organisation

Every seat on your institutional account. Desk-level divergence becomes visible internally before it is visible anywhere else.

◉ Public

Publishes to Risk Markets. The origination trace is preserved: anonymous or attributed — your choice, made once, immutable.

Two live instruments — demonstration

The social layer here is deliberately narrow: compliance-grade forwards, named invitations under recorded sponsorship, and sealed conviction notes disclosed only on publish. No streaks, no leaderboards — sealed surfaces reward discretion, not visibility.

🔒 SEALED · SOVEREIGN & GEOPOLITICS 4 desks positionedInternal only

Nigeria: naira unification holds through Q2 auctions?

AI prior64%

Desk consensus78%

Internal divergence+14 pts

Sealed conviction note · Risk desk · disclosed on publish only

“Reserve data supports the hold. If we publish, we publish after the auction — the divergence is our edge until then.”

✉ INVITE · COMMODITIES & RESOURCES 7 named viewers2 counterparties

DRC cobalt: export permit regime formalised within 6 months?

AI prior35%

Invited consensus52%

Divergence+17 pts

Invited under sponsorship of S. Masimango (Principal Chamber) — the sponsorship is recorded permanently on both profiles, and the sponsor's record carries the invitees' subsequent accuracy.

The publish pipeline

Five steps from private question to public market — or to sealed internal resolution.

Draft the question — From a governed template or free-form. The AI Prior Agent attaches a structural baseline from the linked trajectory.

Lock resolution criteria — Primary-source evidence requirements, locked before any position is taken. No editorial judgment at resolution.

Choose visibility — Sealed, Invite, Organisation, or Public. Changeable upward only — a sealed question can go public; a public one can never be resealed.

Positions accumulate — Desk positions with conviction notes, timestamped. The internal divergence between desks is the first signal.

Publish or resolve — Publish to Risk Markets with origination trace, or resolve internally against the locked criteria. Either way the audit record is immutable.